From Tropical Storms to Severe Weather

It seems we are continuing our string of exciting weather years across the country.  This time, it’s the Mid-Atlantic’s turn, which makes sense as some of the most severe weather occurs in June.  But, seriously. . .a tropical storm followed a couple days later by a string of weak tornadoes and torrential rain?  Guess, what?  We aren’t done yet!

To put things into perspective, I have put together a short list of cities and their rainfall so far in June and for 2013:

Baltimore has had 4.91″ for June, 18.77″ for the year which is 1.72″ below normal.

Philadelphia has had 6.79″ for June, 19.32″ for the year which is 0.85″ below normal.

Atlantic City has had 4.07″ for June, 21.63″ for the year which is 1.24″ above normal.

What lies ahead?

Day 2 Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center valid on 06/11/13.
Day 2 Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center valid on 06/11/13.
Day 3 Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center valid on 06/11/13.
Day 3 Convective Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center valid on 06/11/13.

Another round of severe weather will headed towards the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic over the next 48 hours which could consist of high winds, more heavy rain, some hail, and possible tornadoes.  Yesterday’s tornadoes received much attention as I’m sure many are a bit sensitive after the rough end of May.  Then the word “derecho” made it back into the media vernacular in the last 24 hours to describe tomorrow into Thursday.  While this is a possibility, these large thunderstorm complexes are very tough to forecast.  I wouldn’t be surprised if there were multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon into Thursday afternoon.

There is much jet stream energy with a strong disturbance moving in from the upper Plains.  This along with instability due to the strong June sun and nearly tropical air mass just to the south of the Mid-Atlantic could lead to very dangerous weather, so please take this seriously.

As the Thursday wears on, the threat will slide south along the East Coast, possibly leading to isolated severe thunderstorms in the Carolinas back to Mississippi.

The great news. . .the weekend looks very nice, especially on Saturday with some showers moving in later on Sunday.

For my Louisiana fans:  Hot and humid for a while with very low chances of rain.

St. Louis:  Hot tomorrow, with thunderstorms possible tomorrow night.

Thanks for reading!

 

 

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